Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe.
نویسندگان
چکیده
Global change will alter the supply of ecosystem services that are vital for human well-being. To investigate ecosystem service supply during the 21st century, we used a range of ecosystem models and scenarios of climate and land-use change to conduct a Europe-wide assessment. Large changes in climate and land use typically resulted in large changes in ecosystem service supply. Some of these trends may be positive (for example, increases in forest area and productivity) or offer opportunities (for example, "surplus land" for agricultural extensification and bioenergy production). However, many changes increase vulnerability as a result of a decreasing supply of ecosystem services (for example, declining soil fertility, declining water availability, increasing risk of forest fires), especially in the Mediterranean and mountain regions.
منابع مشابه
Global Change in Europe Ecosystem Service Supply and Vulnerability
www.sciencemag.org (this information is current as of September 5, 2007 ): The following resources related to this article are available online at http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/310/5752/1333 version of this article at: including high-resolution figures, can be found in the online Updated information and services, http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/1115233/DC1 can be found a...
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عنوان ژورنال:
- Science
دوره 310 5752 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2005